Kelly Calculator
Your stake on every match — instantly.
Set your portfolio once. We size every bet at ¼ Kelly against the model's edge, capped at 6% per event, with the 2% edge floor and three-tier bankroll from the execution manual.
1 unit = $10 (1% of bankroll)
Tier A · Core
$600
60% — main trading bankroll
Tier B · Hedge
$300
30% — hedge reserve
Tier C · Emergency
$100
10% — 🚨 signals only
Max per event
$60
6u hard cap on entry
Max exposure
$150
15u across all events
Today's board — recommended stakes
¼ Kelly · edge ≥ 2%🔒
PRO FEATURE
The live board sizes every match on today's schedule against the model's edge for your exact portfolio. The what-if calculator on the right is free — try it with any odds and probability.
What-if calculator
Fair odds1.67
Market P50.0%
Edge+10.0%
Full Kelly20.0%
Recommended stake
$50
5.00 units · LARGE · to win $50
Edge → stake, for $1,000
| Edge (at 2.00 odds) | ¼ Kelly stake | Units | Classification |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2% | $10 | 1.0u | SMALL |
| +3% | $15 | 1.5u | SMALL |
| +5% | $25 | 2.5u | MEDIUM |
| +8% | $40 | 4.0u | MEDIUM |
| +12% | $60 | 6.0u | MAX |
| +16% | $60 | 6.0u* | MAX |
| +20% | $60 | 6.0u* | MAX |
Reference at even odds — real stakes use each match's actual odds. * = bound by the 6u per-event cap.